Maria Mateas vs Arantxa Rus Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How has each player been performing on their second serve recently? Mateas has a slight edge, winning 39.23% of points, compared to Rus who is at 35.9%.
• In terms of return game performance, Rus has a slight advantage, winning 51.22% of opponents' second serve points compared to Mateas' 48.21%.
• Both players have similar first serve return stats, but Mateas edges slightly with 36.92% over Rus's 35.68%.
• Under pressure, particularly in saving breakpoints, Mateas has a small lead, saving 51.32% compared to Rus’s 48.18%.
• Last year, Rus slightly outperformed Mateas in overall match wins, securing a win rate of 53.62% against Mateas's 51.52%.
• On their preferred surfaces, Rus excels on clay with a 67% win rate, while Mateas is best on hard courts with a 58% win rate.
• At the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K level, Rus has a superior win rate of 70.97%, whereas Mateas's win rate stands at 52.38%.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Rus has won the only match they've played.
• In matches going the distance, Rus is more successful, winning 67% of deciding sets versus Mateas's 42%.
• Rus is usually facing higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 173.48; Mateas’s opponents have an average rank of 311.91, potentially giving Rus an edge.
• For converting breakpoints, Mateas slightly leads with a conversion rate of 43.26%, while Rus converts at 40.51%.

Editorial Prediction (May 21, 2025, UTC):

Heading into this match, the comparison of recent performances and historical data slightly favors Arantxa Rus. While Mateas shows a marginal edge in some individual performance stats such as second serve points won and break point conversion rates, Rus's overall higher match win rate in the past year indicates consistent competitiveness.

Rus's proficiency in returning opponents' second serves could counterbalance Mateas’s slightly better second serve performance. Additionally, Rus's ability to prevail in matches that go to a deciding set further bolsters her prospects.

Taking into account Rus's positive head-to-head record against Mateas and her experience against comparably higher-ranked opponents, she emerges as the more likely winner for the upcoming match.